Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.532516 4.231142 5.011627 5.945233 7.028505 8.242621 9.703036
2025-05-25 2.417568 3.272919 4.331366 5.725476 7.499919 9.668350 12.502211
2025-06-01 1.820755 2.735477 3.968600 5.725902 8.134217 11.282976 15.667865
2025-06-08 1.436935 2.366002 3.715143 5.771100 8.768014 12.909513 18.980281
2025-06-15 1.148454 2.056811 3.467804 5.750274 9.262027 14.352462 22.147127
2025-06-22 0.882181 1.716154 3.099311 5.468249 9.303347 15.114922 24.378020
2025-06-29 0.724810 1.519648 2.917514 5.435300 9.695829 16.403166 27.464967
2025-07-06 0.600776 1.353534 2.753260 5.396268 10.055748 17.651965 30.573586
2025-07-13 0.549517 1.315309 2.806960 5.735182 11.072638 20.022906 35.629884
2025-07-20 0.487246 1.240258 2.777239 5.913555 11.821590 22.005615 40.196722
2025-07-27 0.445386 1.199736 2.806540 6.201941 12.789070 24.424928 45.655361
2025-08-03 0.383545 1.099433 2.696762 6.201632 13.218164 25.938047 49.671126
2025-08-10 0.312341 0.961114 2.486562 5.977338 13.212565 26.706967 52.505770
2025-08-17 0.249825 0.827967 2.263090 5.691336 13.051047 27.174587 54.839367
2025-08-24 0.213765 0.756407 2.168688 5.669785 13.414965 28.641837 59.083758
2025-08-31 0.186246 0.701743 2.105021 5.707103 13.901647 30.376138 63.937462
2025-09-07 0.160081 0.643485 2.021106 5.683949 14.253384 31.868971 68.428885
2025-09-14 0.128179 0.556076 1.842388 5.403975 14.007345 32.144334 70.584554
2025-09-21 0.110066 0.509886 1.767646 5.371089 14.310987 33.555317 75.053872
2025-09-28 0.094461 0.467452 1.695053 5.332370 14.594793 34.942188 79.559008
2025-10-05 0.090820 0.470505 1.759590 5.667732 15.797325 38.356313 88.381119
2025-10-12 0.083358 0.455603 1.765797 5.844250 16.631360 41.032208 95.835661
2025-10-19 0.078950 0.452394 1.808924 6.129665 17.759180 44.420861 104.960286